Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 243.951395 274.858293 309.116896 350.074491 397.927176 452.330492 519.234996
2025-05-04 197.450133 238.047703 287.020386 351.118376 433.797644 538.236954 682.388943
2025-05-11 167.503920 210.713503 265.721390 342.117543 447.463014 590.664780 805.518321
2025-05-18 147.021087 191.152327 249.756943 335.102463 459.387278 639.035352 928.657841
2025-05-25 136.840136 183.337156 247.522546 345.226013 495.081681 725.005181 1123.223260
2025-06-01 125.494141 172.303924 239.011684 344.375164 513.250095 786.077818 1289.613264
2025-06-08 114.626158 160.661061 228.058895 337.940640 520.935974 830.401160 1435.382467
2025-06-15 107.124207 153.132354 222.259770 338.486376 539.489566 895.310194 1633.029230
2025-06-22 98.843267 143.622172 212.372819 331.005211 542.877721 933.082390 1785.198151
2025-06-29 92.924470 137.218392 206.699123 329.749735 556.795736 992.300381 1996.476368
2025-07-06 85.271384 127.462381 194.730861 316.258310 546.217232 1001.577375 2098.010120
2025-07-13 83.097023 126.310663 196.775039 327.651548 584.236811 1115.906685 2479.207858
2025-07-20 81.230658 125.612115 199.675287 341.259679 629.404779 1256.208058 2978.262600
2025-07-27 77.369469 121.289589 195.953878 342.052732 648.610680 1342.936424 3365.655782
2025-08-03 72.433580 114.771297 187.798525 333.348034 646.283570 1378.529494 3617.108198
2025-08-10 68.230862 109.237399 180.974761 326.552668 647.166545 1422.183995 3910.451507
2025-08-17 66.679246 108.235723 182.321237 336.357939 686.881793 1573.062895 4621.301096
2025-08-24 63.843554 104.744196 178.737840 335.533924 701.684667 1661.254955 5153.797863
2025-08-31 60.559896 100.235359 172.889262 329.301854 702.576608 1711.148473 5565.990747
2025-09-07 58.334864 97.525631 170.294477 329.830454 720.263783 1813.640467 6243.958375
2025-09-14 55.382729 93.295413 164.436190 322.583661 717.185008 1853.422132 6675.389400
2025-09-21 53.300783 90.579218 161.388672 321.367399 729.712567 1944.985533 7398.633815
2025-09-28 50.102616 85.583300 153.463088 308.295214 708.875975 1924.871251 7570.606013